Beyond the public-facing research, we also have done unique and fascinating customer-only research as well. The advanced stats show that the Blues give away the joint-second easiest chances of any club in Europe's top five leagues, their peers including Eibar, Paderborn and Getafe. It’s possible that much of this is the fault of Kepa Arrizabalaga, who has never looked impressive in the shot-stopping numbers. Our research shows having actual pressing data (not derived info, like our competitors) dramatically changes how you evaluate teams and players defensively. But a higher number generally indicates better shot stopping (and perhaps some slightly better luck). His failure to move for Trent Alexander-Arnold's lovely free-kick infuriated many, as did his weak effort for Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain's late goal.
The core of it seemed to stem from the excellent form of academy graduates, most prominently Tammy Abraham and Mason Mount, who were finally given opportunities in the first team. If you read this far, hope you enjoyed the journey. Maybe it’s best to review how StatsBomb has changed as a company (and a website) in that time. And possibly the thing that got us the most attention that we released to StatsBomb IQ in the last year was our Goalkeeper Module. Behind the scenes, we produce regular white papers for customers, detailing our research, and unlike most companies, we discuss in detail where our research has failed. Or how about pass height, which is unique to StatsBomb Data, and is a fascinating indicator of team style. In contrast, StatsBomb customers know how much pressure a shooter is under from exactly how many defenders and the GK, in which locations, on every shot. This is above and beyond the typical head coach and player research we produce for our consulting customers on a monthly basis. There's no doubt that this group of players will continue to mature, and with the set of individuals around there’s a very good chance of at least one going supernova. It’s hard to ask a 21-year-old arriving in a new country to do much more than he has so far. The FIFA Women’s World Cup data will go out to the public daily during the World Cup itself, and we will keep producing FAWSL and NWSL seasonal data for free. How can we better show just what made Burnley's defending in 17-18 so unique, question the fee Chelsea spent on Kepa Arrizabalaga, his framework for GK evaluation was accepted for poster presentations, a video explanation of the new stuff we are collecting and why.
If you continue to use this site we will assume that you are happy with it. We have even documented our research in this area extensively , here, here, and here.
And given how quickly we are releasing new things that help our customers perform better, that is the one thing that will probably not change in the year to come. The introduction course is suitable for literally anyone who likes football, while the Set Pieces courses are geared for coaches and analysts who want to learn more about this phase of the game. Pressures unlocked this information in a way that simply wasn't available before. Chelsea had an xG difference per game of +0.83 in the first twelve fixtures and +0.72 in the second 12. Many more problems had no solutions, they only had consequences. Thanks for keeping us on our toes, folks! Ask any traditionalist what a newly promoted team needs to get right in order to stay in the Premier League, and chances are that “defending set pieces” will be a key point. A year later, one question I often get asked is why? The... By Derrick Yam. “Hey, what about this?” Silence. And the talent from the academy doesn’t seem to be drying up any time soon. And then the results just stopped coming. And what if I told you he’s more than two years younger than Pulisic? Although it is increasing every year, data use in football is still in its infancy. The Midlands side are the worst team in the Premier League when it comes to xG conceded from set plays. The trio below Kepa also cost far less than the world record £71.6m Chelsea laid out, their combined transfers throughout their careers totalling just £5.8m. August 16, 2018 | Main Chelsea’s Rebound Date: Kepa Arrizabalaga. . Kepa is the not-so-proud owner of the very WORST save percentage in all of Europe's top five leagues - the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, the Bundesliga and Ligue 1. If Kepa is at fault, he cannot solely be to blame for opposing attackers hitting their shots particularly well; at least, according to the data.. Another possibility, albeit difficult to find evidence for in the data, is that Chelsea’s particularly open style leads to conceding shots that are better than the model thinks. What curious timing. The need to improve our understanding of football demanded it, and it was pretty clear that none of the major suppliers were going to deliver a better product. Four keepers who have earned rave reviews this season - Newcastle's Martin Dubravka (+8.5), Sheffield United loanee Dean Henderson (+7.4), Bernd Leno of Arsenal (+7.3) and Alex McCarthy (+7.0), who replaced Gunn and helped a resurgance at Southampton - make up the top five. We have also added body pose information about GKs on every shot and save into the data spec. For example, we started to profile "pressures", something we now view as the basic unit of defensive activity and an event that is unique to SB Data. We will keep getting better. Even Jorginho, the avatar of Sarriball, looked like he enjoyed the greater freedom afforded under the new man in charge. It is a far from flawless stat - essentially someone is judging every shot and deeming it saveable or not, and we highly doubt former world class keepers are lining up for that job. If you want an example of a promoted side who defend from set pieces properly, look no further than, In a very quiet January transfer window, some talk has emerged of.
He ran a little over xG in the fall and a little under it since, which once again exaggerates things, but it’s clear that he hasn’t been getting good chances quite as often. Why would we take all this risk to go after a market that already existed, and one where one giant company had developed a near monopoly on top quality data? The club record signing has been playing way below the level expected of a £71.6MILLION signing - a fee that made him the most expensive goalkeeper ever. The Data project was secret, and had been under wraps from the outside world since inception. So what do we know about Chelsea overall at this stage? Why is Roberto Firmino amazing - he's a striker that doesn't score many goals? To truly compete with the very elite in football, they desperately need a new goalkeeper when the window opens. Data scientist Derrick Yam used this to question the fee Chelsea spent on Kepa Arrizabalaga at the season’s start, and his framework for GK evaluation was accepted for poster presentations at the massive Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston. The stats also vary with StatsBomb - used for this article - actually attributing two fewer goals than rival firm Opta. If you give your details below, we will add you to our newsletter mailing list and send you updates about our work. But how did this happen? Continue Reading . He has managed to keep out just 55 of 99 shots, a miserable 54.5 per cent. We have even documented our research in this area extensively, here, here, and here. The Midlands side are the worst team in the Premier League when it comes to xG conceded from set plays. They copy, we innovate. In fact, a lot has happened in a year. Purely in terms of expected goals, not much has changed. But these are fairly out-there hypotheticals. I consent to StatsBomb collecting my data from this form and would like to receive news and information from StatsBomb. The comparisons to his manager are clear and not unfair, but while he’s got the basics down, he should remember that Lampard also developed an excellent passing game over time. The most likely scenario is that this is just a case of shit happens, and we shouldn’t expect the side to continue to let in goals like this if nothing else changes. Beyond the results, the metrics looked even better. In a very quiet January transfer window, some talk has emerged of Olivier Giroud making the move to Tottenham. I know, because I talked to a number of them about it. The model lets your recruitment department uncover those types of players easily. He’s also looked to install a high pressing game. Like, not from a from a technical perspective - that was fairly straightforward. It was also probably the biggest personal and financial risk I had taken in my career. If Kepa is at fault, he cannot solely be to blame for opposing attackers hitting their shots particularly well; at least, according to the data.. Another possibility, albeit difficult to find evidence for in the data, is that Chelsea’s particularly open style leads to conceding shots that are better than the model thinks. Collecting data from video has been around for ages. Really, really hard. Because with this information, we built a new passing model that lets teams fully profile the quality of player passing with each foot. Realistically Villa are currently a toss up for relegation, but things would look a lot more secure if they could fix this. Now we get to the slightly nerdier stuff, expected goals against. And... there will be a new release of free men's data beyond the 2018 World Cup that's already there, but I don’t want to say any more because I don’t want to spoil the fun. We typically send our newsletter monthly so you won't be bombarded with emails. Followed by this one a day later, and a blog explaining their new qualifiers. This includes detailing the new expected goals models, more information on GK evaluation, a groundbreaking analysis of that I hope to be able to talk about in the future, and a recent study of how the Danish Superliga has changed over time, plus how it compares to bigger leagues like the English Premier League and German Bundesliga. Back to our story… new data also meant we were no longer shackled by restrictions from our … That's because StatsBomb Data wasn’t supposed to exist. Eleven non-penalty goals from the last twelve games against twenty-six from the first twelve massively exaggerates the issue, but there has been a real decline. Just as long as they don’t tie him to a ludicrous contract. Unfortunately for the former Athletic Bilbao No 1, both traditional and advanced statistics place him among the very WORST keepers in all of Europe's top five leagues.
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